Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.802269 4.070654 4.356799 4.685986 5.055999 5.461138 5.941152
2025-06-29 3.297095 3.658711 4.067266 4.568270 5.173510 5.891066 6.821879
2025-07-06 2.995691 3.402068 3.879021 4.489964 5.266885 6.244332 7.606380
2025-07-13 2.798931 3.236191 3.764992 4.466634 5.397922 6.631386 8.465540
2025-07-20 2.687154 3.157569 3.742190 4.543793 5.652327 7.197359 9.654959
2025-07-27 2.601696 3.101232 3.737382 4.636237 5.928096 7.820017 11.042652
2025-08-03 2.496282 3.009464 3.675848 4.640701 6.072601 8.260568 12.223154
2025-08-10 2.377039 2.890818 3.568133 4.567857 6.090186 8.499058 13.096443
2025-08-17 2.256879 2.763634 3.439744 4.453209 6.029159 8.596444 13.721776
2025-08-24 2.165859 2.670705 3.352527 4.390893 6.041238 8.814071 14.629768
2025-08-31 2.115882 2.630804 3.336461 4.431984 6.220661 9.345161 16.335106
2025-09-07 2.062141 2.582581 3.304981 4.445791 6.354173 9.809828 18.036137
2025-09-14 1.959162 2.463463 3.168466 4.292521 6.199013 9.723908 18.432836
2025-09-21 1.880103 2.375527 3.074127 4.201082 6.145314 9.834961 19.397688
2025-09-28 1.813649 2.302599 2.998026 4.133117 6.125524 10.009784 20.603770
2025-10-05 1.764607 2.252543 2.953338 4.112678 6.188810 10.367043 22.497698
2025-10-12 1.741424 2.238729 2.962162 4.180412 6.421457 11.133033 26.104207
2025-10-19 1.722781 2.230493 2.978617 4.261452 6.687932 12.032752 30.848659
2025-10-26 1.687162 2.195532 2.951617 4.265362 6.802189 12.592048 34.736724
2025-11-02 1.638334 2.139060 2.888305 4.201520 6.772364 12.782593 37.161557
2025-11-09 1.583992 2.072638 2.806746 4.100887 6.657800 12.733799 38.416522
2025-11-16 1.542474 2.024392 2.752406 4.046111 6.635149 12.930843 41.191327
2025-11-23 1.522526 2.008199 2.748662 4.082236 6.809645 13.711050 48.284128